Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Lexington, KY, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday


	Lea Ma		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
	2.6	1.42
	2.72	1.44
	2.90	1.35	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.59	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.59)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
34.7%

Varvara Lepchenko
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Lea Ma - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 351. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 126.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lepchenko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Lepchenko - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.27%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Clervie Ngounoue - Lea Ma	Ma L. walkover ✺
30.07.25	Lea Ma - Makenna Jones	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Amelia Honer - Lea Ma	Ma L. retired ✺
23.07.25	Victoria Rodriguez - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Lea Ma - Whitney Osuigwe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 ?W?WL
- Varvara Lepchenko
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Saki Imamura - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Usue Maitane Arconada - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Washington
20.07.25	Kamilla Rakhimova - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.07.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW

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