Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Surbiton (United Kingdom), grass - Semi-finals

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Referee: Anderson B. (Gbr)


	Leandro Riedi		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.47
	2.82	1.46
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.44)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leandro Riedi
34.9%

Brandon Nakashima
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leandro Riedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	0%	95.5%

Leandro Riedi - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Riedi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nakashima is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nakashima will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Nakashima to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Riedi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
07.06.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
05.06.24	Leandro Riedi - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
03.06.24	Leandro Riedi - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.24	Leandro Riedi - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.05.24	Leandro Riedi - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Challenger
07.06.24	Brandon Nakashima - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
06.06.24	Brandon Nakashima - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
05.06.24	Brandon Nakashima - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Brandon Nakashima	3:1 ✺
26.05.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Brandon Nakashima	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.01.24	Leandro Riedi - Brandon Nakashima	2:0
Boys Singles US Open
04.09.19	Brandon Nakashima - Leandro Riedi	2:1

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