Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dallas, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday


	Brandon Nakashima		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.85
	1.43	3.02
	1.4	2.95	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.37	3.16	Watch
	1.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.3)	2.98 ↓ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
68.1%

Mattia Bellucci
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Brandon Nakashima - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Bellucci will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brandon Nakashima will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 74.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nakashima is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Brandon Nakashima - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Damir Dzumhur - Brandon Nakashima	Canceled ✺
ATP Brisbane
11.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Raphael Collignon - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 L?LWW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
31.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Edas Butvilas - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Yanki Erel - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Casper Ruud	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Brandon Nakashima - Mattia Bellucci	2:1
23.02.24	Mattia Bellucci - Brandon Nakashima	1:2

Upcoming Matches