Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2024, Monday

Referee: Pennington R. (Usa)


	Learner Tien		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	2.05	1.7
	2.09	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.73
	2.2	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.88)	1.69 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
44.5%

Benjamin Bonzi
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Learner Tien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benjamin Bonzi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Learner Tien - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Bonzi will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tien in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bonzi is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bonzi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ITF Tournaments
14.07.24	Learner Tien - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Learner Tien - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
12.07.24	Learner Tien - Rudy Quan	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Learner Tien - Alexander Petrov	2:0 ✺
10.07.24	Learner Tien - William Kleege	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
18.07.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Brandon Holt - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
12.07.24	Yuta Shimizu - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW

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