Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Knoxville (USA), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday


	Learner Tien		Jay Clarke

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.13	5.25
	1.13	5.2	Watch
	1.17	5.61
	1.17	5.28	Watch
	1.14	5	Watch
	1.2	4.22	Watch
	1.13	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.33)	5.16 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
81.8%

Jay Clarke
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Learner Tien's performance.

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jay Clarke might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Learner Tien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jay Clarke could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Learner Tien - Jay Clarke Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Clarke will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 121. Clarke is ranked ATP: 251.

Tien is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Clarke is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Clarke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tien is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Challenger
07.11.24	Learner Tien - Micah Braswell	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Learner Tien - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	James Kent Trotter - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Mark Lajal - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
30.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
06.11.24	Bernard Tomic - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
04.11.24	Jay Clarke - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.10.24	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Jay Clarke	Clarke J. retired ✺
12.10.24	Gianluca Mager - Jay Clarke	Mager G. retired ✺
11.10.24	Nerman Fatic - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WW??W

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