Match Info

Date: 28 October 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Leo Borg		Ilia Simakin

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Leo Borg
43.5%

Ilia Simakin
56.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leo Borg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leo Borg than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Recent matches Borg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Simakin in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Borg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Simakin will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Simakin to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leo Borg
ITF Tournaments
27.10.22	Leo Borg - Marco De Rossi	2:0 ✺
26.10.22	Leo Borg - Roland Stuurman	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
18.10.22	Leo Borg - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.10.22	Leo Borg - Saba Purtseladze	0:2 ✺
06.10.22	Leo Borg - Yannick Wunderlich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLW
- Ilia Simakin
ITF Tournaments
27.10.22	Ilia Simakin - Karim-Mohamed Maamoun	2:0 ✺
26.10.22	Ilia Simakin - Ping Chen Lin	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Ilia Simakin - Lukas Pokorny	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Ilia Simakin - Finn Reynolds	2:0 ✺
21.10.22	Ilia Simakin - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Leo Borg - Ilia Simakin