Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Leo Borg		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.42	1.5	Watch
	2.37	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.87)	1.51 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leo Borg
38.9%

Mert Alkaya
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leo Borg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leo Borg's performance.

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mert Alkaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leo Borg than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+3%)

Leo Borg - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Borg is ranked ATP: 533. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 407.

In recent matches, Borg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alkaya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alkaya is a strong favorite.

We predict that Alkaya will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leo Borg
ITF Tournaments
14.01.26	Leo Borg - Louis Tessa	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	John Hallquist Lithen - Leo Borg	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Timofei Derepasko - Leo Borg	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Johan Nikles - Leo Borg	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Matthias Ujvary - Leo Borg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW
- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
13.01.26	Tiago Cacao - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Olle Wallin - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Ergi Kirkin - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Saveliy Ivanov - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Tiago Cacao - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW

Leo Borg - Mert Alkaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide