Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Rancho Santa Fe, CA, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Leo Vithoontien		Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.52	2.42
			Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.51	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.69)	2.41 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leo Vithoontien
61.4%

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leo Vithoontien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leo Vithoontien's performance.

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leo Vithoontien than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leo Vithoontien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Vithoontien is ranked ATP: 728. Goncalves Ceolin is ranked ATP: 1124.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Goncalves Ceolin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vithoontien will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leo Vithoontien
ITF Tournaments
12.06.25	Leo Vithoontien - Alafia Ayeni	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	William Kleege - Leo Vithoontien	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Oliver Tarvet - Leo Vithoontien	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Alexander Kotzen - Leo Vithoontien	1:2 ✺
06.06.25	Leo Vithoontien - Phillip Jordan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLWW
- Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
ITF Tournaments
21.05.25	Izan Almazan Valiente - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Evan Bynoe - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Drew Van Orderlain	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL

Leo Vithoontien - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide