Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Nishi-Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Leo Vithoontien		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
	3.53	1.31
	3.09	1.31	Watch
	2.9	1.33
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.7)	1.32 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leo Vithoontien
29.6%

Naoki Nakagawa
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leo Vithoontien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leo Vithoontien than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leo Vithoontien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leo Vithoontien - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vithoontien is ranked ATP: 705. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 678.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Vithoontien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nakagawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Leo Vithoontien - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.99%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leo Vithoontien
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Jumpei Yamasaki - Leo Vithoontien	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Hunter Heck - Leo Vithoontien	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Leo Vithoontien - Kokoro Isomura	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Leo Vithoontien - Dong Ju Kim	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.01.26	Leo Vithoontien - Scott Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWL
- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
16.03.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Riku Takahata	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Li Tu - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Ryo Tabata	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Cooper Kose	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Leo Vithoontien - Naoki Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide