Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto Alegre 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Leonardo Aboian		Eduardo Ribeiro

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.61	1.47	Watch
	2.51	1.49	Watch
	2.47	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.7)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonardo Aboian
37.1%

Eduardo Ribeiro
62.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonardo Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Eduardo Ribeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonardo Aboian than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonardo Aboian that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eduardo Ribeiro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eduardo Ribeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonardo Aboian - Eduardo Ribeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aboian is ranked ATP: 600. Ribeiro is ranked ATP: 538.

Aboian is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ribeiro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ribeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ribeiro is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aboian won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonardo Aboian
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Pedro Rodrigues - Leonardo Aboian	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Fermin Tenti - Leonardo Aboian	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Leonardo Aboian - Lucio Ratti	Aboian L. retired ✺
23.03.25	Leonardo Aboian - Conner Huertas Del Pino	Aboian L. retired ✺
10.03.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Leonardo Aboian	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WW??L
- Eduardo Ribeiro
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Eduardo Ribeiro - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Eduardo Ribeiro	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Eduardo Ribeiro - Enmanuel Munoz	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Eduardo Ribeiro - Kylian Collignon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.08.22	Eduardo Ribeiro - Leonardo Aboian	1:2

Leonardo Aboian - Eduardo Ribeiro