Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 4, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Leonardo Cattaneo		Ivan Marrero Curbelo

	1	2
	2.1	1.62
	2	1.75
	2.15	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.1	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.5)	1.66 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonardo Cattaneo
44.1%

Ivan Marrero Curbelo
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonardo Cattaneo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonardo Cattaneo's performance.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ivan Marrero Curbelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonardo Cattaneo than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonardo Cattaneo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ivan Marrero Curbelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Cattaneo is ranked ATP: 1411. Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 713.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Marrero Curbelo might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonardo Cattaneo
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Leonardo Cattaneo - Gabriel Matuszewski	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Leonardo Cattaneo - Michal Krajci	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Yaroslav Demin - Leonardo Cattaneo	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Leonardo Cattaneo - Mohamed Safwat	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Michael Zhu - Leonardo Cattaneo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWLW
- Ivan Marrero Curbelo
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Andrea Colombo - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Diego Eloy Mendez Montiel - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.03.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Blu Baker	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.03.25	Karl Poling - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

Leonardo Cattaneo - Ivan Marrero Curbelo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide