Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday


	Lesia Tsurenko		Anna Blinkova

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.52
	2.64	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.45	1.56	Watch
	2.55	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.2)	1.52 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lesia Tsurenko
37.3%

Anna Blinkova
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lesia Tsurenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lesia Tsurenko's form might have worsened.

Anna Blinkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anna Blinkova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lesia Tsurenko than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lesia Tsurenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anna Blinkova than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anna Blinkova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Lesia Tsurenko - Anna Blinkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tsurenko will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Blinkova will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blinkova: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tsurenko is ranked WTA: 120. Blinkova is ranked WTA: 85.

Recent matches Tsurenko is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Blinkova is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tsurenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Blinkova will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Blinkova to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tsurenko won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lesia Tsurenko
WTA Wuhan
09.10.24	Magda Linette - Lesia Tsurenko	Tsurenko L. retired ✺
08.10.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Erika Andreeva - Lesia Tsurenko	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Linda Fruhvirtova - Lesia Tsurenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
24.09.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Viktoriya Tomova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 ?WWWL
- Anna Blinkova
ATP Challenger
26.10.24	Marina Stakusic - Anna Blinkova	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Rebecca Marino - Anna Blinkova	1:2 ✺
24.10.24	Anna Blinkova - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Anna Blinkova - Anastasia Tikhonova	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Anna Blinkova - Veronika Erjavec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cluj Napoca
08.10.22	Lesia Tsurenko - Anna Blinkova	0:2

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