Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 8, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Luan 8 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lexue Xiao		Aruzhan Sagandikova

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Lexue Xiao
19.3%

Aruzhan Sagandikova
80.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.4%

75.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexue Xiao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lexue Xiao's form might have worsened.

Aruzhan Sagandikova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aruzhan Sagandikova's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Xiao is ranked WTA: 1014. Sagandikova is ranked WTA: 958.

Recent form of Xiao has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sagandikova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sagandikova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sagandikova is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexue Xiao
ITF Tournaments
04.08.25	Yingqun Sun - Lexue Xiao	Xiao L. retired ✺
15.07.25	Lexue Xiao - Paola Lopez	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Lexue Xiao - Valeria Bhunu	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Lexue Xiao - Astrid Cirotte	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Smriti Bhasin - Lexue Xiao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 ?LLLW
- Aruzhan Sagandikova
ITF Tournaments
26.08.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Kayo Nishimura	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Valeria Savinykh	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Adriana Tkachenko	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Edda Mamedova	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Vlada Zvereva - Aruzhan Sagandikova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLW

Lexue Xiao - Aruzhan Sagandikova