Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Leyre Romero Gormaz		Fiona Ferro

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.42
	2.75	1.4
	2.74	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.42
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.26)	1.41 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyre Romero Gormaz
34.1%

Fiona Ferro
65.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyre Romero Gormaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leyre Romero Gormaz's form might have worsened.

Fiona Ferro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiona Ferro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyre Romero Gormaz than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leyre Romero Gormaz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiona Ferro than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiona Ferro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Leyre Romero Gormaz - Fiona Ferro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Romero Gormaz is ranked WTA: 139., and Ferro is ranked WTA: 105..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Ferro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ferro holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Leyre Romero Gormaz - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.99%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyre Romero Gormaz
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Alice Rame	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Jessica Pieri - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Polona Hercog - Leyre Romero Gormaz	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Martina Trevisan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Fiona Ferro
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Selena Janicijevic - Fiona Ferro	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Aurora Zantedeschi - Fiona Ferro	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Sijia Wei - Fiona Ferro	Ferro F. Retired ✺
27.09.26	Yidi Yang - Fiona Ferro	1:2 ✺
WTA Singapore
21.09.26	Talia Gibson - Fiona Ferro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WW?WL

Leyre Romero Gormaz - Fiona Ferro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide