Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Birmingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Li Tu		Alex Bolt

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Li Tu
36.1%

Alex Bolt
63.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolt (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Tu is ranked ATP: 168. Bolt is ranked ATP: 197.

Recent form of Tu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bolt's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bolt will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Li Tu - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Li Tu - Oliver Crawford	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Clement Tabur - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Li Tu - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Li Tu - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Giles Hussey - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
01.06.25	Charles Broom - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.25	Fajing Sun - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLL

Li Tu - Alex Bolt