Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday


	Li Tu		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.8	Watch
	1.88	1.82	Watch
	2.06	1.74
	2.05	1.72	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.94	1.79	Watch
	1.88	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.78)	1.8 ↓ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Li Tu
48.3%

Zachary Svajda
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Li Tu - Zachary Svajda Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Li Tu will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tu is ranked ATP: 168. Svajda is ranked ATP: 228.

Tu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Svajda's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Li Tu - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.89%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Zachary Svajda - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.11%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
01.06.25	Li Tu - Oliver Crawford	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Clement Tabur - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Li Tu - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Li Tu - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Hugo Grenier - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL
- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
01.06.25	Aidan McHugh - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.25	Zachary Svajda - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Zachary Svajda - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Zachary Svajda - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWL?

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