Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Li Tu		Giulio Zeppieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.96	1.75	Watch
	2.04	1.75
	1.99	1.78	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	1.96	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.12)	1.77 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Li Tu
47.3%

Giulio Zeppieri
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Giulio Zeppieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Li Tu - Giulio Zeppieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tu is ranked ATP: 177. Zeppieri is ranked ATP: 394.

Recent matches Tu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zeppieri is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zeppieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Zeppieri to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Li Tu - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Li Tu - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	James Duckworth - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Li Tu - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.02.25	Arthur Cazaux - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.02.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Vilius Gaubas	Gaubas V. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWW?

Li Tu - Giulio Zeppieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide