Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Adrian Mannarino		Li Tu

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.45	Watch
	2.54	1.49
	2.56	1.49	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.46	Watch
	2.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.09)	1.47 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
36.8%

Li Tu
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adrian Mannarino's form might have worsened.

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Li Tu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Adrian Mannarino - Li Tu Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Tu will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 126. Tu is ranked ATP: 177.

Mannarino has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mannarino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mannarino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Li Tu - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
22.02.25	Adrian Mannarino - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
03.02.25	Rinky Hijikata - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
28.01.25	Adrian Mannarino - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.01.25	Adrian Mannarino - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Li Tu
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Li Tu - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	James Duckworth - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Li Tu - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.02.25	Arthur Cazaux - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Li Tu - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Li Tu - Adrian Mannarino	2:0

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