Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: NEWPORT (USA) - QUALIFICATION, GRASS - FINAL

Date: 17 July 2023, Monday


	Li Tu		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.1	1.7
	2.18	1.69
	2.2	1.7
	2.1	1.67
	2.27	1.58	Watch
	2.13	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.86)	1.67 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Li Tu
43.5%

Illya Marchenko
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Li Tu's form might have worsened.

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illya Marchenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Li Tu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Li Tu - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Marchenko will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Tu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marchenko is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Marchenko to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Li Tu
ATP Newport
16.07.23	Li Tu - Matija Pecotic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Li Tu - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
04.07.23	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
26.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
25.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLW
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Newport
16.07.23	Donald Young - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.23	Illya Marchenko - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
11.07.23	Dane Sweeny - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
10.07.23	Cannon Kingsley - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Jaimee Floyd Angele - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW

Li Tu - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide