Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHICAGO (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 July 2023, Tuesday


	Li Tu		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.54	1.5
	2.58	1.53
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.46	1.5	Watch
	2.47	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.14)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Li Tu
37.3%

Alex Michelsen
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Li Tu's form might have worsened.

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Michelsen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Li Tu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Li Tu - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Michelsen will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Michelsen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
04.07.23	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
26.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
25.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
24.06.23	Steven Diez - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.06.23	Rio Noguchi - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Mallorca
26.06.23	Alex Michelsen - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
25.06.23	Lloyd Harris - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
24.06.23	Daniel Masur - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
19.06.23	Alex Michelsen - Juan Bautista Otegui	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW

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