Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Lia Karatancheva		Astra Sharma

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	4	1.24
	3.8	1.22	Watch
	3.9	1.25	Watch
	4	1.22
	3.7	1.25	Watch
	3.8	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.03)	1.23 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lia Karatancheva
24.1%

Astra Sharma
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lia Karatancheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lia Karatancheva's form might have worsened.

Astra Sharma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astra Sharma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astra Sharma than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Lia Karatancheva - Astra Sharma Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Karatancheva will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sharma will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5 Games - Karatancheva (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lia Karatancheva will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Karatancheva (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Sharma (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 349. Sharma is ranked WTA: 184.

Now both players are in good shape.

Sharma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sharma is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sharma to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lia Karatancheva
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Tamara Zidansek - Lia Karatancheva	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Veronika Erjavec - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Lia Karatancheva - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Silvia Ambrosio - Lia Karatancheva	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Alena Kovackova - Lia Karatancheva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWWLW
- Astra Sharma
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Astra Sharma - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Astra Sharma - Lanlana Tararudee	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.25	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Astra Sharma	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Zhibek Kulambayeva - Astra Sharma	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Astra Sharma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL

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