Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Pazardzhik (Bulgaria), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday


	Lia Karatancheva		Caroline Werner

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.2	1.58
	2.16	1.67
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.22	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.83)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lia Karatancheva
42.6%

Caroline Werner
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lia Karatancheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lia Karatancheva's form might have worsened.

Caroline Werner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caroline Werner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lia Karatancheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caroline Werner than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caroline Werner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lia Karatancheva - Caroline Werner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 364. Werner is ranked WTA: 572.

Recent matches Karatancheva is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Werner is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Karatancheva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lia Karatancheva
ITF Tournaments
19.09.24	Ekaterina Makarova - Lia Karatancheva	1:2 ✺
18.09.24	Lia Karatancheva - Gergana Topalova	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	Lia Karatancheva - Cristina Diaz Adrover	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Tena Lukas - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Iva Primorac - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW
- Caroline Werner
ITF Tournaments
19.09.24	Caroline Werner - Veronika Erjavec	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Raluca Georgiana Serban - Caroline Werner	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Caroline Werner - Carlota Martinez Cirez	1:2 ✺
12.09.24	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Caroline Werner	1:2 ✺
11.09.24	Caroline Werner - Lucia LLinares Domingo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWW

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