Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday


	Lia Karatancheva		Lisa Zaar

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.30	1.63
	2.23	1.56
	2.25	1.61
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.65)	1.59 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lia Karatancheva
41.4%

Lisa Zaar
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lia Karatancheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lia Karatancheva's performance.

Lisa Zaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lisa Zaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lia Karatancheva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lisa Zaar than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lisa Zaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lia Karatancheva - Lisa Zaar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 383. Zaar is ranked WTA: 308.

Recent performances by Karatancheva have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zaar is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Zaar might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lia Karatancheva
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Lia Karatancheva - Nika Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.07.26	Lia Karatancheva - Beatrice Ricci	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Lia Karatancheva - Gaia Maduzzi	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Lia Karatancheva - Arianna Zucchini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW
- Lisa Zaar
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Lisa Zaar - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Lisa Zaar - Anna-Lena Friedsam	0:2 ✺
WTA Hamburg
19.07.26	Elena Malygina - Lisa Zaar	2:0 ✺
WTA Iasi
12.07.26	Zhibek Kulambayeva - Lisa Zaar	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Lisa Zaar - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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