Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday


	Lisa Zaar		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.66	2.30
	1.86	1.83	Watch
	1.7	1.95
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.85)	2.02 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lisa Zaar
53.9%

Varvara Lepchenko
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lisa Zaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lisa Zaar than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lisa Zaar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Lepchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lisa Zaar - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Lisa Zaar will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zaar is ranked WTA: 295. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 175.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Zaar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Lepchenko - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lisa Zaar
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Madison Sieg - Lisa Zaar	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Iva Ivanova - Lisa Zaar	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Anastasia Bertacchi - Lisa Zaar	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.06.26	Lisa Zaar - Tyra Caterina Grant	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.05.26	Lisa Zaar - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL
- Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Wimbledon
23.06.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Anastasia Gasanova	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.06.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Noemi Basiletti - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Tyra Caterina Grant	1:2 ✺
01.06.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Iryna Shymanovich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLW

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