Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: NEWPORT (USA), GRASS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 July 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: NEWPORT (USA) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	SportKlub
Croatia	17:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	17:00	Nova Sport 1
France	17:00	beIN Sports
Portugal	16:00	Sport TV3
Serbia	17:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	17:00	SportKlub


	Liam Broady		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.46	2.7
	1.45	2.77
	1.45	2.95
	1.44	2.75
	1.42	2.88	Watch
	1.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	2.78 ↑ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Broady
65.8%

Shintaro Mochizuki
34.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Broady has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Liam Broady - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: Liam Broady will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Broady could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Broady will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Broady
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Denis Shapovalov - Liam Broady	3:1 ✺
06.07.23	Liam Broady - Casper Ruud	3:2 ✺
03.07.23	Liam Broady - Constant Lestienne	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
28.06.23	Liam Broady - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
27.06.23	Liam Broady - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWLW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
29.06.23	Zsombor Piros - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:3 ✺
28.06.23	Lukas Klein - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
26.06.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Naoya Honda - Liam Broady	✺

Liam Broady - Shintaro Mochizuki