Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Liam Draxl		James Duckworth

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.65
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.34)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
42.1%

James Duckworth
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liam Draxl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Duckworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Liam Draxl - James Duckworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 219., and Duckworth is ranked ATP: 64..

In recent outings, Draxl has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Duckworth is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Draxl may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Duckworth is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

James Duckworth - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.62%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Liam Draxl - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Liam Draxl - Yutong Du	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.26	Liam Draxl - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.09.26	Henry Searle - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL
- James Duckworth
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
27.09.26	Rigele Te - James Duckworth	Canceled ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	James Duckworth - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	James Duckworth - Maks Kasnikowski	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	James Duckworth - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 L?L?L

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