Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	James Duckworth		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.23	1.66	Watch
	2.13	1.68	Watch
	2.20	1.70
	2.22	1.68	Watch
	2.13	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
43.5%

Lorenzo Sonego
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

James Duckworth - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Sonego will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duckworth: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Duckworth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 65., and Sonego is ranked ATP: 86..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Sonego could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Duckworth has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

James Duckworth - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.31%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Lorenzo Sonego - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.69%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	James Duckworth - Maks Kasnikowski	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	James Duckworth - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	James Duckworth - Yibing Wu	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Matteo Arnaldi - James Duckworth	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
28.08.26	James Duckworth - Arthur Fery	Duckworth J. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?LLW?
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Lorenzo Sonego	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Lorenzo Sonego - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Vit Kopriva	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Lorenzo Sonego - James Duckworth	0:2
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.22	Lorenzo Sonego - James Duckworth	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.21	Lorenzo Sonego - James Duckworth	3:0

James Duckworth - Lorenzo Sonego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide