Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Drummondville (Canada), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 November 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Drummondville (Canada) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Liam Draxl		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.4
	1.25	3.55	Watch
	1.27	3.88
	1.25	3.71	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.27	3.54	Watch
	1.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.44)	3.61 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
74.1%

Michael Geerts
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liam Draxl's performance.

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Geerts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Liam Draxl - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: Liam Draxl will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 236. Geerts is ranked ATP: 299.

Draxl in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Geerts is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Draxl could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Draxl is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Draxl to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ITF Tournaments
10.11.24	Liam Draxl - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Liam Draxl - Jaden Weekes	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Liam Draxl - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
07.11.24	Liam Draxl - Strong Kirchheimer	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Liam Draxl - Alex Finkelstein	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- Michael Geerts
ITF Tournaments
08.11.24	Mats Rosenkranz - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
07.11.24	Ben Jones - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
06.11.24	Nicaise Muamba - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
01.11.24	Michael Geerts - Stuart Parker	0:2 ✺
31.10.24	Michael Geerts - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Liam Draxl - Daniil Ostapenkov	✺

Liam Draxl - Michael Geerts