Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Liam Draxl		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.61	2.17	Watch
	1.64	2.33
	1.59	2.31	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.58	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)	2.25 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
58.3%

Alexis Galarneau
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liam Draxl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexis Galarneau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Liam Draxl - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Draxl will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Galarneau will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draxl: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Draxl (votes: 1 - 50%). Galarneau (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 147. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 209.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Galarneau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Draxl won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.06%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Houston
28.03.26	Liam Draxl - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Quentin Halys - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Liam Draxl - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Christian Garin - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Houston
28.03.26	Gabriel Debru - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Alexis Galarneau - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Alexis Galarneau - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Gael Monfils - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.07.25	Alexis Galarneau - Liam Draxl	1:2
25.01.25	Alexis Galarneau - Liam Draxl	1:2
ITF Tournaments
10.11.24	Liam Draxl - Alexis Galarneau	2:0

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