Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday


	Liam Draxl		Philip Sekulic

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.48	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.65
	1.5	2.65
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.42	2.76	Watch
	1.43	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)	2.62 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
64.2%

Philip Sekulic
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liam Draxl's performance.

Philip Sekulic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philip Sekulic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liam Draxl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philip Sekulic than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philip Sekulic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Liam Draxl - Philip Sekulic Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Draxl will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Sekulic will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draxl: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Draxl could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Draxl will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Draxl won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
07.03.24	Liam Draxl - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
05.03.24	Blaise Bicknell - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.03.24	Liam Draxl - Pedro Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
01.03.24	Liam Draxl - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:1 ✺
29.02.24	Liam Draxl - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Philip Sekulic
ATP Challenger
05.03.24	Philip Sekulic - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
01.03.24	Philip Sekulic - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
29.02.24	Evgeny Donskoy - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Philip Sekulic - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Philip Sekulic - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.07.23	Liam Draxl - Philip Sekulic	2:0

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