Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jingshan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Lian Tran		Fangran Tian

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	4.32	1.19	Watch
	3.8	1.24	Watch
	3.33	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (2.25)	1.25 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lian Tran
24.7%

Fangran Tian
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lian Tran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lian Tran's form might have worsened.

Fangran Tian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fangran Tian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lian Tran than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lian Tran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fangran Tian than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fangran Tian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lian Tran - Fangran Tian Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Tian (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tian (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tran is ranked WTA: 341. Tian is ranked WTA: 469.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Tian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tian could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lian Tran
WTA Sao Paulo
07.09.25	Lian Tran - Miriana Tona	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Lian Tran - Noelia Zeballos	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.08.25	Lian Tran - Stephanie Judith Visscher	Tran L. retired ✺
07.08.25	Lian Tran - Anastasia Abbagnato	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Despina Papamichail - Lian Tran	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LW?LW
- Fangran Tian
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Hanyu Guo - Fangran Tian	2:1 ✺
10.09.25	Ying Zhang - Fangran Tian	Zhang Y. retired ✺
09.09.25	Fangran Tian - Hikaru Sato	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Rina Saigo - Fangran Tian	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Hayu Kinoshita - Fangran Tian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 L?WLW

Lian Tran - Fangran Tian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide