Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Sao Paulo (Brazil), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 August 2024, Friday


	Lian Tran		Jasmin Ortenzi

	1	2
			Watch
	3.9	1.2
	4.1	1.18
	4.46	1.19
	4.19	1.19
	4.33	1.2
	4.42	1.18	Watch
	4.1	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (2.73)	1.19 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lian Tran
22%

Jasmin Ortenzi
78%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lian Tran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lian Tran's form might have worsened.

Jasmin Ortenzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jasmin Ortenzi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lian Tran than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lian Tran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jasmin Ortenzi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lian Tran - Jasmin Ortenzi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tran is ranked WTA: 533. Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 338.

Recent matches Tran is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ortenzi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ortenzi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ortenzi will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ortenzi to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lian Tran
ITF Tournaments
28.08.24	Victoria Rodriguez - Lian Tran	1:2 ✺
27.08.24	Lian Tran - Mariana Soares	2:0 ✺
22.08.24	Lian Tran - Dana Guzman	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Yleymi Lugiana Muelle Valdez - Lian Tran	1:2 ✺
15.08.24	Lian Tran - Janice Tjen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL
- Jasmin Ortenzi
ITF Tournaments
28.08.24	Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Jasmin Ortenzi - Miriana Tona	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Lara Julieta Estable - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
23.08.24	Jasmin Ortenzi - Ana Sofia Sanchez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

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