Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Bujumbura 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday


	Lian Tran		Yuki Naito

	1	2
	2.04	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.04	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.79)	1.7 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lian Tran
45.2%

Yuki Naito
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lian Tran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lian Tran's form might have worsened.

Yuki Naito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuki Naito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lian Tran than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lian Tran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuki Naito than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuki Naito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Tran is ranked WTA: 351. Naito is ranked WTA: 528.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Naito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lian Tran
ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	Ksenia Zaytseva - Lian Tran	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Anna Ureke - Lian Tran	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Micol Salvadori - Lian Tran	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Lian Tran - Celine Naef	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Lian Tran - Daria Snigur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL
- Yuki Naito
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Emeline Dartron - Yuki Naito	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Dayeon Back - Yuki Naito	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Alisa Kummel - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Loes Ebeling Koning - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Yuno Kitahara - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWW

Lian Tran - Yuki Naito: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide