Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chisinau - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday


	Lilian Marmousez		Erik Arutiunian

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.63	2.25
	1.63	2.19	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	2.27 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lilian Marmousez
58.9%

Erik Arutiunian
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Erik Arutiunian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erik Arutiunian than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lilian Marmousez - Erik Arutiunian Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Marmousez will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lilian Marmousez will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marmousez is ranked ATP: 427. Arutiunian is ranked ATP: 524.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arutiunian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Marmousez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
25.05.25	Lilian Marmousez - David Eichenseher	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Lilian Marmousez - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Daniel Michalski - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Daniel Cukierman - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Lilian Marmousez	Svrcina D. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWW?
- Erik Arutiunian
ATP Challenger
25.05.25	Alexis Gautier - Erik Arutiunian	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Giles Hussey - Erik Arutiunian	Arutiunian E. retired ✺
18.05.25	Erik Arutiunian - Evgenii Tiurnev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Erik Arutiunian - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Daniil Glinka - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 W?WLW

Lilian Marmousez - Erik Arutiunian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide