The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Daniel Michalski 46.7%
Lilian Marmousez 53.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Michalski's form might have worsened.
Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Michalski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Daniel Michalski - Lilian Marmousez Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Michalski will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Marmousez will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Marmousez: 35.9% – 97.5%.