Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Mumbai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday


	Lilli Tagger		Darja Semenistaja

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.57	2.26
	1.59	2.37
	1.67	2.09	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.65)	2.27 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lilli Tagger
58.8%

Darja Semenistaja
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilli Tagger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Darja Semenistaja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilli Tagger than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lilli Tagger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darja Semenistaja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Lilli Tagger - Darja Semenistaja Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Tagger (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lilli Tagger will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lilli Tagger will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Tagger (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Semenistaja (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tagger is ranked WTA: 128. Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 99.

Tagger is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Semenistaja's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tagger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tagger might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilli Tagger
ATP Challenger
05.02.26	Lilli Tagger - Eri Shimizu	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Lilli Tagger - Vaishnavi Adkar	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.01.26	Lilli Tagger - Harriet Dart	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Renata Zarazua - Lilli Tagger	Zarazua R. retired ✺
29.01.26	Lilli Tagger - Viktoria Hruncakova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWW?W
- Darja Semenistaja
ATP Challenger
04.02.26	Mai Hontama - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Diletta Cherubini - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Yexin Ma - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Linda Noskova - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
WTA Hobart
10.01.26	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL

Lilli Tagger - Darja Semenistaja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide