Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Mumbai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday


	Mai Hontama		Darja Semenistaja

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.46	Watch
	2.77	1.46
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.57	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.75)	1.5 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
37.5%

Darja Semenistaja
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Darja Semenistaja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mai Hontama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darja Semenistaja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mai Hontama - Darja Semenistaja Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Hontama (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 12.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mai Hontama will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Hontama (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Hontama is ranked WTA: 213. Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 99.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Semenistaja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Semenistaja could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Mai Hontama - Alevtina Ibragimova	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Mai Hontama	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Elizabeth Abarquez - Mai Hontama	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.01.26	Mai Hontama - Carole Monnet	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Mingge Xu - Mai Hontama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLW
- Darja Semenistaja
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Diletta Cherubini - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Yexin Ma - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Linda Noskova - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
WTA Hobart
10.01.26	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Darja Semenistaja - Moyuka Uchijima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLW

Mai Hontama - Darja Semenistaja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide