Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou (China) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Referee: QU Z. (Chn)


	Linang Xiao		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.48	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.52	1.5
	2.53	1.5
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.43	1.53	Watch
	2.41	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.83)	1.5 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linang Xiao
37.8%

Hiroki Moriya
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linang Xiao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linang Xiao than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Linang Xiao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hiroki Moriya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Moriya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moriya will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linang Xiao
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Linang Xiao - Altug Celikbilek	1:2 ✺
22.04.24	Mukund Sasikumar - Linang Xiao	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Luke Saville - Linang Xiao	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.03.24	Linang Xiao - Yunseong Chung	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Linang Xiao - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LW?LW
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
22.04.24	Hiroki Moriya - James Kent Trotter	0:2 ✺
21.04.24	Hiroki Moriya - Ye Cong Mo	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Hiroki Moriya - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Hiroki Moriya - Yunseong Chung	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Hiroki Moriya - Suk Hyun Choo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLW

Linang Xiao - Hiroki Moriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide