Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 HINODE (JAPAN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Linang Xiao		Keisuke Saitoh

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.85
	1.86	1.86
	1.87	1.87
	1.8	1.91
	1.81	1.91
	1.8	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.57)	1.87 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linang Xiao
50.6%

Keisuke Saitoh
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linang Xiao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linang Xiao's form might have worsened.

Keisuke Saitoh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keisuke Saitoh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linang Xiao than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Linang Xiao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keisuke Saitoh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Saitoh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Xiao won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linang Xiao
ITF Tournaments
12.03.24	Linang Xiao - Koki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
28.02.24	Linang Xiao - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
27.02.24	Natthasith Kunsuwan - Linang Xiao	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Thanapet Chanta - Linang Xiao	2:1 ✺
15.02.24	Linang Xiao - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL
- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
12.03.24	Keisuke Saitoh - Sora Fukuda	2:1 ✺
22.02.24	Adrien Gobat - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
20.02.24	Keisuke Saitoh - Louis Tessa	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Luca Castagnola - Keisuke Saitoh	2:1 ✺
25.01.24	Keisuke Saitoh - Andres Fernandez Canovas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.12.23	Linang Xiao - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0

Linang Xiao - Keisuke Saitoh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide