Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Quinta do Lago, hard - Final

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Lisa Pigato		Eva Vedder

	1	2
			Watch
	1.50	2.35
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.47	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)	2.43 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lisa Pigato
62.1%

Eva Vedder
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lisa Pigato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Eva Vedder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lisa Pigato than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eva Vedder than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lisa Pigato - Eva Vedder Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pigato will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Vedder will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pigato is ranked WTA: 114., and Vedder is ranked WTA: 201..

Pigato is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Vedder is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Pigato is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Pigato in today's match, at odds of 1.53.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Eva Vedder - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.38%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lisa Pigato
ITF Tournaments
03.10.26	Lisa Pigato - Katie Swan	Swan K. Retired ✺
02.10.26	Lisa Pigato - Polona Hercog	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Lisa Pigato - Adrienn Nagy	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Lisa Pigato - Jasmijn Gimbrere	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Gabriela Knutson - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 ?WWWW
- Eva Vedder
ITF Tournaments
03.10.26	Eva Vedder - Margaux Rouvroy	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Francisca Jorge - Eva Vedder	1:2 ✺
01.10.26	Harmony Tan - Eva Vedder	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Caroline Werner - Eva Vedder	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Eva Vedder - Charo Esquiva Banuls	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWL

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