Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - Final

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Gabriela Knutson		Lisa Pigato

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.67	2.10
	1.59	2.23
	1.63	2.16	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.63	2.22	Watch
	1.59	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)	2.22 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriela Knutson
58%

Lisa Pigato
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriela Knutson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lisa Pigato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriela Knutson than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriela Knutson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lisa Pigato than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lisa Pigato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gabriela Knutson - Lisa Pigato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Knutson is ranked WTA: 163., and Pigato is ranked WTA: 137..

Both players look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Pigato could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriela Knutson - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.85%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriela Knutson
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Malaika Rapolu - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Anouk Koevermans - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Aoi Ito - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
01.09.26	Gabriela Knutson - Eva Lys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWL
- Lisa Pigato
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Lisa Pigato - Jeline Vandromme	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Susan Bandecchi - Lisa Pigato	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Lisa Pigato	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Sana Garakani - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Linda Klimovicova - Lisa Pigato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWL

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