Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lisa Zaar		Alena Kovackova

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Lisa Zaar
53.3%

Alena Kovackova
46.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lisa Zaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Alena Kovackova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lisa Zaar than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alena Kovackova than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Zaar is ranked WTA: 443. Kovackova is ranked WTA: 571.

Recent performances by Zaar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kovackova is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zaar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lisa Zaar
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Lisa Zaar - Oana Georgeta Simion	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Lisa Zaar	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Lisa Zaar - Angela Fita Boluda	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Lisa Zaar	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Angelina Voloshchuk - Lisa Zaar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLW
- Alena Kovackova
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Alena Kovackova	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Alena Kovackova - Tyra Caterina Grant	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Alena Kovackova	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Alena Kovackova - Angela Fita Boluda	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Alena Kovackova - Jessica Bertoldo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW

Lisa Zaar - Alena Kovackova