Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Modena, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday


	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.94	1.85
	1.96	1.90
	1.88	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.90	1.90	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.67)	1.86 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
49.5%

Varvara Lepchenko
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva's form might have worsened.

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Lepchenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lepchenko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Varvara Lepchenko will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jimenez Kasintseva is ranked WTA: 124. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 175.

Recent form of Jimenez Kasintseva has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Lepchenko has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lepchenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jimenez Kasintseva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.55%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Varvara Lepchenko - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.45%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
18.05.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Elena Pridankina	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Barbora Krejcikova - Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
05.05.26	Taylor Townsend - Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Noemi Basiletti - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Tyra Caterina Grant	1:2 ✺
01.06.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Iryna Shymanovich	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Viktorija Golubic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
16.03.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2
ATP Challenger
27.09.25	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide