Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MALLORCA (SPAIN), GRASS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 29 June 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Lloyd Harris		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.42	2.88
	1.43	2.8
	1.44	3.03
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.91	Watch
	1.41	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)	2.89 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
67%

Pavel Kotov
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.3%	0%	2.7%

Lloyd Harris - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Lloyd Harris will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Harris will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP Mallorca
27.06.23	Lloyd Harris - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
25.06.23	Lloyd Harris - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
ATP Halle
19.06.23	Denis Shapovalov - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.23	Arthur Fils - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Mallorca
27.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
26.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
25.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
24.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Fernando Verdasco	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.23	Marcos Giron - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWL

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