Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MALLORCA (SPAIN), GRASS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pavel Kotov		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.7	1.26
	3.6	1.29
	3.6	1.29
	4.06	1.29
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.95	1.25	Watch
	3.7	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.38)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
25.7%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	0%	76.2%

Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Davidovich Fokina is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kotov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Mallorca
26.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
25.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
24.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Fernando Verdasco	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.23	Marcos Giron - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Edan Leshem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP London
20.06.23	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
02.06.23	Novak Djokovic - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:0 ✺
31.05.23	Luca Van Assche - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
29.05.23	Arthur Fils - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
15.05.23	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Astana
04.10.22	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0

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