Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15+H Rodez, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Loann Massard		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.70	2.00
	1.78	1.93
	1.66	2.07	Watch
	1.71	2.03
	1.66	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.81)	2.01 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loann Massard
54.1%

Jelle Sels
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loann Massard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loann Massard than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loann Massard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Loann Massard - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Massard is ranked ATP: 768., and Sels is ranked ATP: 579..

Massard is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Sels have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sels may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Loann Massard - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.28%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Jelle Sels - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.72%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loann Massard
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Loann Massard - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Loann Massard - Rahul Dhokia	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Samir Banerjee - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Amaury Raynel - Loann Massard	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Iiro Vasa - Loann Massard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- Jelle Sels
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Alexandre Reco - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Thomas Gerbaud - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Jelle Sels - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Jelle Sels - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLL

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