Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 LESA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday


	Lorenzo Carboni		Dominik Recek

	1	2
	1.36	2.8
	1.38	2.8
	1.39	2.85
	1.44	2.62
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.69)	2.75 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
66.3%

Dominik Recek
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Carboni's performance.

Dominik Recek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominik Recek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Carboni that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominik Recek than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominik Recek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Carboni could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carboni will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
23.08.23	Marcello Serafini - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
10.08.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
09.08.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Alessandro Spadola	2:0 ✺
27.07.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
26.07.23	Ioannis Xilas - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLW
- Dominik Recek
ITF Tournaments
22.08.23	Dominik Recek - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:0 ✺
16.08.23	Max Wiskandt - Dominik Recek	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.07.23	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Dominik Recek	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Dominik Recek - Neil Oberleitner	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.07.23	Dominik Recek - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWL

Lorenzo Carboni - Dominik Recek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide