Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Zaragoza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Ioannis Xilas		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.85
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.94	1.84
	1.86	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.83)	1.83 (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ioannis Xilas
49.5%

Lorenzo Carboni
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ioannis Xilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ioannis Xilas than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ioannis Xilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ioannis Xilas - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Xilas is ranked ATP: 427., and Carboni is ranked ATP: 566..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Xilas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Xilas has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Carboni - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ioannis Xilas
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Sander Jong - Ioannis Xilas	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Pedro Rodenas - Ioannis Xilas	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Leonardo Borrelli - Ioannis Xilas	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Max Houkes - Ioannis Xilas	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Ioannis Xilas - Jack Loge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLW
- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Daniel Michalski - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Gabriele Pennaforti - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Matteo Sciahbasi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.07.23	Ioannis Xilas - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2

Ioannis Xilas - Lorenzo Carboni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide