Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Carboni		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.6	1.45	Watch
	2.71	1.47
	2.72	1.47
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.69	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.23)	1.46 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
35.9%

Federico Arnaboldi
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Carboni's form might have worsened.

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Arnaboldi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Lorenzo Carboni - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carboni is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arnaboldi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carboni could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arnaboldi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carboni won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
22.04.24	Lorenzo Carboni - Omni Kumar	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Kirill Kivattsev - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Lorenzo Carboni - Andrea Meduri	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Lorenzo Carboni - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Niels Visker - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
06.05.24	Elmer Moeller - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Daniel Cukierman	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.24	Michele Ribecai - Federico Arnaboldi	Arnaboldi F. retired ✺
08.04.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Kirill Kivattsev	1:2 ✺
02.04.24	Max Houkes - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.10.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2

Lorenzo Carboni - Federico Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide