Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Stellabotte N. (Ita)


	Elmer Moeller		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.4
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.26	3.71
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.5	Watch
	1.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.49)	3.51 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moeller
73.5%

Federico Arnaboldi
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moeller's performance.

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Arnaboldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moeller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Arnaboldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Arnaboldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Moeller is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moeller
ITF Tournaments
04.05.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Elmer Moeller	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Federico Iannaccone - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	Louis Wessels - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.04.24	Elmer Moeller - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
11.04.24	Elmer Moeller - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLW
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
05.05.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Daniel Cukierman	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.24	Michele Ribecai - Federico Arnaboldi	Arnaboldi F. retired ✺
08.04.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Kirill Kivattsev	1:2 ✺
02.04.24	Max Houkes - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
26.03.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Vincent Jonah Strauch	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 W?LL?

Elmer Moeller - Federico Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide